Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.455994 0.499923 0.546966 0.601215 0.662199 0.728811 0.807308
2026-02-01 0.376741 0.436307 0.504547 0.589015 0.691464 0.812585 0.967940
2026-02-08 0.336729 0.404681 0.486198 0.592221 0.727979 0.898056 1.130560
2026-02-15 0.304607 0.376719 0.466390 0.587683 0.749940 0.963122 1.270560
2026-02-22 0.282304 0.357781 0.454581 0.590065 0.778449 1.036756 1.427934
2026-03-01 0.260479 0.336966 0.437649 0.582738 0.791328 1.088247 1.557913
2026-03-08 0.241492 0.318071 0.421214 0.573754 0.799740 1.132565 1.680646
2026-03-15 0.222150 0.297079 0.399987 0.555599 0.792204 1.151207 1.763874
2026-03-22 0.214168 0.291207 0.399300 0.566826 0.829049 1.240545 1.972091
2026-03-29 0.206303 0.284825 0.397192 0.575369 0.861965 1.326304 2.184906
2026-04-05 0.197918 0.277044 0.392321 0.578979 0.886864 1.400787 2.387094
2026-04-12 0.189922 0.269276 0.386828 0.580940 0.908828 1.471940 2.592254
2026-04-19 0.183119 0.263014 0.383386 0.586184 0.937248 1.558296 2.841678
2026-04-26 0.172900 0.250951 0.370172 0.574353 0.935019 1.588960 2.984170
2026-05-03 0.166840 0.244967 0.366132 0.577461 0.959293 1.671155 3.246459
2026-05-10 0.159692 0.236851 0.358119 0.573061 0.969309 1.726722 3.459357
2026-05-17 0.154449 0.231467 0.354188 0.575371 0.991786 1.808971 3.745687
2026-05-24 0.147774 0.223414 0.345351 0.568267 0.995570 1.853411 3.950352
2026-05-31 0.141273 0.215326 0.336000 0.559554 0.995381 1.889337 4.140080
2026-06-07 0.133614 0.204981 0.322290 0.541946 0.976074 1.882287 4.220058
2026-06-14 0.131395 0.203598 0.323873 0.552836 1.015088 2.006865 4.665824
2026-06-21 0.128846 0.201519 0.324101 0.561120 1.049405 2.124961 5.118419
2026-06-28 0.125665 0.198202 0.321946 0.564621 1.073882 2.223187 5.535570